Outside of seeing three of the top ten teams in the nation play, this is not one of the better weekends for SEC football on paper.
The headline game of the week pits No. 19 Auburn versus No. 1 LSU. No. 10 Arkansas travels to Oxford to take on their former head coach while Tennessee tries to renew their cross-divisional rivalry with No. 2 Alabama.
No. 19 Auburn versus No. 1 LSU
Auburn head coach Gene Chizik and offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn must not like Clint Mosely. For the third weekend in a row LSU’s defense will face a first time starter at quarterback when sophomore Clint Mosely takes over for Barrett Trotter under center. Malzahn hopes Mosley can add a passing attack to compliment their potent ground game.
Mosely will take on the top ranked team in the nation on the road, a team that features the fourth best total defense in the nation. Mosely replaced Trotter as the second half starter for Auburn against Florida last week. He finished the game 4 of 7 for 90 yards passing.
What Chizik hopes to gain by starting Mosely against LSU is questionable. Yes, the Tigers need better production under center but are they wise to give a first collegiate start to a quarterback against LSU’s defense?
LSU uses a tandem quarterback rotation with Jarrett Lee and Jordan Jefferson. The Tigers also use a tandem running back set with Spencer Ware and Michael Ford. Early reports are coming out that Spencer Ware failed a drug test and may be suspended for the Auburn game. If the suspensions are enforced, sophomore Alfred Blue would receive more snaps in the Tiger offense in Ware’s absence.
Lee is the starter and the passing quarterback. Jefferson primarily runs the option when he enters the game for the Tigers; Jefferson had three pass attempts last week versus Tennessee .
LSU should have their original 2011 starting offensive line together for the first time since week three at Mississippi State .
LSU will stack the box on defense and beg Mosely to beat them with his arm. Having already faced Oregon ’s top spread option attack, Auburn ’s will not fool the Tigers.
LSU defensive back Tyrann Mathieu, a.k.a. the Honey Badger, is listed as a possible player to be suspended for the Auburn game as well.
LSU is too deep for two starters to cause them to be upset.
Either way LSU wins 48-14.
No. 10 Arkansas versus Ole Miss
Houston Nutt will throw everything at Arkansas including the kitchen sink to try and win this game. Nutt’s back is up against the wall and a victory over Arkansas could take some heat off of his seat. A victory against Arkansas could change the season around in Oxford as it did in 2008.
Six Ole Miss possessions against the Tide were three-and-outs or less. During those six possessions the Rebels lost yards on each drive totaling negative 26 yards.
The Rebels gained 72 yards on the opening drive against Alabama and accumulated 69 yards the rest of the game.
Ole Miss is short handed on defense with two starters out and a weak pass defense; DE Joey Dorsey and CB Marcus Temple. The Rebels will have to improve upon their 10 total sacks on the season to keep Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson and his receivers out of rhythm, if possible.
The Hogs will rely on the pass to help the running game and put pressure on Ole Miss as needed. The Hogs lead the SEC in passing yards and are ranked 8th in the nation in passing offense with 2,021 total yards.
Ole Miss packed the stadium last week with 61,792 in attendance when Alabama came to town. That was the fourth-largest crowd at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium for an Ole Miss football game.
Ole Miss will keep it interesting but Arkansas passing attack will be too much for the Rebels.
Petrino was embarrassed by Nutt in 2008 and 2009. Don’t look for it to happen this year with a top ten ranking on the line, a possible share of the SEC West title, and a possible BCS bowl berth at stake.
The only thing that keeps the score close is if Petrino chooses to abandon the pass in the second half to further develop the running game as he did against Auburn .
Petrino proves a point as Arkansas wins 52-23.
Is Tennessee up to the task to stop the second ranked Crimson Tide? Last week they faltered at home against top ranked LSU 38-7. This week they have to play a night game in Tuscaloosa .
Dooley has the disadvantage of playing against Saban’s punishing defense and an offense that features the 12th best rushing attack in the nation.
Bama’s offensive line will create holes for Trent Richardson, Eddie Lacy, and Jalston Fowler against Tennessee . LSU ended up with 237 rushing yards against the Vols in Neyland Stadium. The Tide averages 241.57 rushing yards per game.
One more time; night game in Tuscaloosa … good luck Tennessee .
Look for similar results as last week. Bama does not throw much and Saban will not purposely run up the score against Dooley.
Bama’s rushing offense will make the final score look like Saban was out for revenge.
This game could point out how bad Kentucky really is this season. The Wildcats are 2-4 entering the weekend with a light schedule the rest of the way.
If Kentucky wins they still have a shot at making a bowl game this season. If Kentucky loses the season is over for the Wildcats.
The Gamecocks average 31.33 points per game.
Last season Jacksonville State took Ole Miss into overtime in Oxford and beat the Rebels 49-48.
For the sake of the SEC and for Kentucky ’s pride they need to beat Jacksonville State .
Army versus Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt’s defense has been SEC caliber all season. The offense has been disappointing.
Last week the Commodores rushed for 200 yards against Georgia and nearly pulled off the upset before losing 33-28. Has Vanderbilt head coach James Franklin finally found some form of an offense?
Army’s defense ranks 70th in the nation allowing 392.83 yards per game.
Vanderbilt’s defense ranks 26th in the nation allowing 329.83 yards per game.
Will Jordan Rodgers or Larry Smith start at quarterback for Vanderbilt? Neither player adds much to the passing attack.
Rodgers is a junior and Smith is a senior. Will Franklin get a head start on next season by taking Smith out of the starting lineup in favor of Rodgers?
Look for Franklin to use both players throughout the game.
If the Commodores are not let down by last week’s loss, look for Vandy to improve to 4-3 on the season.
Vanderbilt wins 28-18.
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